Home China 2030: The Global Public Debt and Chinese Debt Equation

GEAB 179

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Nov 2023

China 2030: The Global Public Debt and Chinese Debt Equation

With the subprime crisis (2007/2009), the rescue plans for banks and financial institutions reached such dizzying heights that we did not expect to see them again any time soon. Since then, the global debt clock has continued to churn out figures that are just as crazy… Between the Covid crisis (2020/2021), the Afghan debacle (2021), the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (2022), the energy crisis (2022), inflation (2022) and now the Hamas-Israel war… for the last 15 years, the rescue plans of the previous world (launch of the green deal in 2019, Covid aid, energy packages, state subsidies, support for Ukraine, etc.) have cost our world dearly.

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Contents

Anticipation means always looking a little further ahead and striving to think the unthinkable. So, when all the signs point to destruction, to collapse, we need to remain clear-headed so [...]

The conflict will be resolved in the short term and will allow the region to integrate and open up to all its potential. This is what we presented last month, [...]

In our October issue, the GEAB team anticipated Ukraine's medium-term development: As a result, Ukraine's integration into the EU seems rather hypothetical, as it would have to be supported by [...]

The reshaping of the world is reflected in the evolution of trade routes. Global merchandise trade is expected to reach $32.6 billion in 2030, with Asia, Africa and the Middle [...]

Our team is continuing to research and reflect on the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on our future societies. In doing so, we are seeking to gather a wealth of [...]

Mihai Nadin, Emeritus Ashbel Smith University Professor, University of Texas at Dallas. His career combines engineering, mathematics, digital technology, philosophy, semiotics, theory of mind, and anticipatory systems. He holds advanced [...]

Eurozone: State bankruptcies on the horizon? Stagflation, recession, rising credit costs, unemployment... the negative signals are multiplying for the eurozone economies. As the end of the year approaches, these indicators [...]

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