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Will oxymorons ever run dry? The boring apocalypse is an astonishing concept, but one that resonates well at a time of rapid, sweeping change, where unprecedented, terrifying risks loom large — threats that evoke deep existential dread. Yet, as each day dawns, the world seems unchanged. The collapse is perpetually imminent but seemingly never arrives. […]

Lithium concentration continues Last week, Rio Tinto, an Anglo-Australian major in the lithium sector, confirmed the purchase of Arcadium Lithium[1], which owns the main lithium mine in Argentina, one of the countries in the world with the largest possible reserves. Lithium is essential for the production of electronic and IT equipment, making it one of […]

Last month our team published its calendar of future global geopolitical events up to January 2025. The calendar was so full that we were unable to mention the economic, monetary and financial events that are just as important to our world’s activities. The worlds of the economy, finance, the stock market, politics, etc., wait feverishly […]

In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. The challenge does not come from its external enemies, but from demographic challenges, internal social fragmentation and an exodus of its most educated population. The country’s future will depend on its ability to reinvent itself, or disappear. No, it […]

The birth rate has always been very high in religious, traditionalist and conservative communities. To anticipate what our future generations will be dreaming of, it is vital to ask which communities are having the most children today. The dystopian world foreseen by the grim prophets of hyper-tech won’t come to pass. The reason is simple: […]

Changes in the attractiveness of different regions and in their attitudes to accepting foreign populations will naturally lead to a reorganisation of migratory flows. In this major rebalancing, the EU appears to be the least well placed, while the Gulf States and, to a lesser extent, Asia will become increasingly important. Finally, the regionalisation of […]

Population decline threatens to become collapse. Whatever happens, it will lead to some form of economic decline. Our economic models, based on infinite growth, need to be reinvented. Degrowth is not an ideology; it is a reality that is imposing itself on the world. Our team offers as proof the mother of all change: demography. […]

This issue reminds everyone (readers and writers alike) of the extent of the statistical fog currently defining our times. In choosing demography this month, you may say that we focused on a reliable, factual field. Birth rates, the recording of births and deaths, as well as censuses are widespread and deeply rooted practices around the […]

Oil: Beware of upheavals Much of our issue is about change and reinvention. The international oil market is also affected by this trend. Prices are falling, mainly due to weak growth in China. This trend is structural, as China adapts to a new growth model, aware that it will not regain the same economic dynamic […]

By 2030, the balance of power in space will have shifted. China is catching up with the USA at an alarming rate, making orbit and the Moon the new strategic battlefields. In the face of this Star Wars, Europe and the other emerging powers risk being relegated to the background. The clash of the Chinese […]

It’s a very busy calendar that our team has put together for you over the next four months. Add to this a host of other events, summits, meetings, conferences, etc., as the world is bursting at the seams at the end of this year with ideas about the future of our planet and everything that […]

As the European Union struggles to adapt to the realities of a multipolar world, a new intergovernmental structure is emerging, the European Political Community (EPC). More agile and flexible, it could redefine the framework of European cooperation and meet tomorrow’s economic, geopolitical and security challenges. The European Union is facing a double failure: it can […]

The year 2025 could mark a turning point with the signing of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. This event, driven by the BRICS+ and new international alliances, could rebalance global dynamics and offer a way out of the crisis for the economically exhausted European Union. One political element will open a way out […]

The European Union is facing a series of economic and political crises that threaten to shatter its model. Between the rise of nationalism, economic weakness and the failure of monetary policy, the EU seems to be out of breath. Could this be the very end of the United Europe? Isn’t it time to acknowledge that […]

« We cannot solve the problems using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them”, said Albert Einstein[1]. Does this also apply to institutions? If there’s one nuance our team holds dear, it’s this: the European Union and Europe are two different realities. The EU has grown so much in recent years that […]

In conclusion, we would like to share some of the comments left by our readers in the survey on the future energy sources, which you will find in the appendix of this issue. However, the comment below invites us to continue our work on the subject: This is a transnational and national geopolitical and sociopolitical […]

In Europe, nuclear power, as a viable energy source for the future, divides opinion sharply in a political and societal battle over whether it should be maintained, developed or dismantled.  States such as Germany and France (both major European players) have completely opposing positions. Two behemoths to form an Energy Union in Europe. Extracts from […]

The world of energy continues to reconfigure itself, with all the creaks and groaning notoriously associated with the quest for energy. Extracts from GEAB 141, 01/2020 : (…) A new energy “web” The world of energy continues to reconfigure itself, with all the creaks and groaning notoriously associated with the quest for energy autarky/security by […]