Category: Magazine

The corona crisis has been the trigger for the EU to finally start issuing common bonds. It was a modest and hard-won step forward. In the midst of the flames, the fire brigade still took 5 days to decide to bring out the big fire hose. That says a lot about the degree of divisions […]

Physical currencies: Speculative tour  Currencies will lose value, but not all together. There are great opportunities within this volatile business environment for the more seasoned and agile among you. In general, currencies tied to the dollar will fall; while currencies pegged to the Chinese powerhouse and the euro will provide areas of currency stability. The […]

At the risk of repeating ourselves, but in order to fight against the absolute blindness of the media system with regard to the digital revolution – albeit programmed – of all the fundamentals of the economy and world finance, here is a small summary of where the international monetary system is heading by 2025-2030. Following […]

The global systemic crisis has spanned 12 years between its onset in 2008 and its conclusion in 2020, most of which correspond to the ‘decantation phase’ mentioned in the previous article. During that time, the LEAP team has kept an eye on many axes of transformation – governance, geopolitical configuration, economic models, the Middle East, […]

The ‘world-after’ is a phrase which was probably uppermost in most people’s minds during the period of global lockdown caused by the coronavirus pandemic. For the authors and readers of the GEAB, it is nothing new; this phrase has been at the centre of our anticipatory analyses since issue No.28 of October 2008. At the […]

Political anticipation often uses the expression “historians of the future”. Usually, LEAP thus evokes the idea that its method of anticipation is to the future what History is to the past (in short, documentary qualification and heuristic narrative). Today, however, it is to the historians of tomorrow that we address ourselves, to those who will […]

Oil: Displacement of another centre of gravity China, the largest importer of oil, is about to finalise the security of its energy supply system. Its strategy is based on the diversification of resources (nuclear in particular), but as oil remains key to the stabilisation of the world economy, there is no question of leaving it […]

Energy producers, distributors and investors worldwide are currently facing a triple whammy of falling demand, falling capacity and price wars that cannot fail to undermine the international corporate-based energy system that we have all come to rely on. Are countries doomed to repeat the errors of the past, or can the Green Movement work with […]

Digital data is the new black gold; the adage is familiar, but the stakes involved less so. With the COVID-19 pandemic, the world has achieved a two-year digital transformation within two months, says Satya Nadella, head of Microsoft. [1] In fact, the numbers are dizzying: before the health crisis, the Zoom videoconferencing platform had some […]

In theory, Europe currently seems much more compatible with the multipolar world of the 21st century than the United States. But it still needs to prove it. From 1st July, Europe will be put to the test. Officially, this is the date on which the implementation of the plan to annex the Occupied Territories to […]

As the virus attacks what has been viewed as the core of the Western reactor since 1945, namely America, it is propelling Europe, regenerated by twelve years of reflection, to the forefront. 2028 is the date set to start repaying the 750-billion-euro loan that the European Council is expected to authorise on 19 June. This […]

Last month, we anticipated a risk of derailment of the centuries-old machine of the American elections.[1] With optimism, we hypothesised that an exceptional context could lead to an extraordinary election that would send Trump as well as Biden back to the ropes and bring to light a third option, more representative of the ‘New America’ […]

Since 2006, the global systemic crisis described by the GEAB has referred to the ‘system’ founded in 1945 in the aftermath of the WW2.[1] Nevertheless, at the heart of this world order is the transatlantic relationship, a link between the USA and Europe based on a double predicate: Europe needs the American guardian so that, […]

Insurances – The end of the system as we knew it According to Lloyd’s of London, the insurance industry will have to pay out $203 billion this year and professionals reckon that this pandemic represents the biggest catastrophe their sector has ever suffered. This economic crisis will be coupled with an existential crisis linked to […]

Are the precious metal markets rushing to get ready for the biggest bull run in history? Recent actions by the London Bullion Market Association, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and many international bullion banks could be pointing towards a perfect storm in the precious metals sphere – one that could see a final collapse of the […]

As has been repeated several times since the outbreak of this crisis, COVID-19 will act as a multi-level accelerator. If this ends up being true in just one sector, it will be the airline industry. Directly blamed for its responsibility in the spread of the virus, perhaps this sector has been hit hardest by the […]

What if the decision of the German Federal Constitutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht – BVerfG) of 5 May was to become the first key component of a European political and democratic system, rather than a spanner in the works? This was our initial reaction as the media exploded with articles, each more catastrophic than the last, on […]

The last quantum leap in public health dates back to the 19th century. It was the result of the application of the principle of free medical care for all citizens. This extension of the healthcare domain had the effect of providing a gigantic database to a medical scientific community grouped in large hospital institutions.[1] Since […]