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Emerging markets: Four years of future investment and growth opportunities

New emerging countries are making their mark on the international scene and positioning themselves as strategic markets. They represent the vanguard of growth drivers for a changing global economy, offering investment and diversification opportunities for a growing number of companies. The demographic dynamic, a wake-up call for investment The dynamics of emerging countries[1] are unique […]

2029 – African debt shock: After the IMF and World Bank, how will African economies be financed?

In the coming years, the African continent will find itself more isolated than ever. Its relations with the global system and Western countries have reached a point of dysfunction that cannot be surpassed, and these ties are bound to be reexamined. Paradoxically, this situation grants African countries newfound freedom in choosing their alliances, which, magnified […]

Africa’s investment horizon 2030: Welcome to the conglomerates’ masquerade!

While economic conglomerates may be on the decline worldwide, they remain the dominant force for foreign investment in Africa. This overview highlights the most influential structures on the continent, revealing the power strategies and economic confrontations that lie ahead. In our last GEAB issue, we showed that Africa is the major pole of resistance to […]

Trump, the last boomer

The triumphant re-election of Donald Trump symbolises the end of the baby-boomer generation’s dominance – their values, economic models and worldview – massively rejected, not just by a large majority of American voters, but also by global public opinion. This response was more supportive of this victory than the Western political and media spheres would […]

Editorial – After the boring apocalypse, a passive revolution

Will oxymorons ever run dry? The boring apocalypse is an astonishing concept, but one that resonates well at a time of rapid, sweeping change, where unprecedented, terrifying risks loom large — threats that evoke deep existential dread. Yet, as each day dawns, the world seems unchanged. The collapse is perpetually imminent but seemingly never arrives. […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct)

Lithium concentration continues Last week, Rio Tinto, an Anglo-Australian major in the lithium sector, confirmed the purchase of Arcadium Lithium[1], which owns the main lithium mine in Argentina, one of the countries in the world with the largest possible reserves. Lithium is essential for the production of electronic and IT equipment, making it one of […]

Calendar – Your eco-financial major events for the coming months

Last month our team published its calendar of future global geopolitical events up to January 2025. The calendar was so full that we were unable to mention the economic, monetary and financial events that are just as important to our world’s activities. The worlds of the economy, finance, the stock market, politics, etc., wait feverishly […]

2048 – The State of Israel (as we know it) will not celebrate its 100th anniversary

In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. The challenge does not come from its external enemies, but from demographic challenges, internal social fragmentation and an exodus of its most educated population. The country’s future will depend on its ability to reinvent itself, or disappear. No, it […]

2050 – The world will be more Amish than Transhuman

The birth rate has always been very high in religious, traditionalist and conservative communities. To anticipate what our future generations will be dreaming of, it is vital to ask which communities are having the most children today. The dystopian world foreseen by the grim prophets of hyper-tech won’t come to pass. The reason is simple: […]

Europe’s setback in the demographic rebalancing

Changes in the attractiveness of different regions and in their attitudes to accepting foreign populations will naturally lead to a reorganisation of migratory flows. In this major rebalancing, the EU appears to be the least well placed, while the Gulf States and, to a lesser extent, Asia will become increasingly important. Finally, the regionalisation of […]

A shrinking world population: The need for new economic models to survive beyond 2050

Population decline threatens to become collapse. Whatever happens, it will lead to some form of economic decline. Our economic models, based on infinite growth, need to be reinvented. Degrowth is not an ideology; it is a reality that is imposing itself on the world. Our team offers as proof the mother of all change: demography. […]

Editorial – The GEAB, your statistical anti-fog system

This issue reminds everyone (readers and writers alike) of the extent of the statistical fog currently defining our times. In choosing demography this month, you may say that we focused on a reliable, factual field. Birth rates, the recording of births and deaths, as well as censuses are widespread and deeply rooted practices around the […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Sept)

Oil: Beware of upheavals Much of our issue is about change and reinvention. The international oil market is also affected by this trend. Prices are falling, mainly due to weak growth in China. This trend is structural, as China adapts to a new growth model, aware that it will not regain the same economic dynamic […]

2030 – Faster, riskier and ready to dominate – China’s New Space

By 2030, the balance of power in space will have shifted. China is catching up with the USA at an alarming rate, making orbit and the Moon the new strategic battlefields. In the face of this Star Wars, Europe and the other emerging powers risk being relegated to the background. The clash of the Chinese […]

Calendar of future events: Finish line 2024

It’s a very busy calendar that our team has put together for you over the next four months. Add to this a host of other events, summits, meetings, conferences, etc., as the world is bursting at the seams at the end of this year with ideas about the future of our planet and everything that […]

European political community: Towards a Europe reconnected to the world

As the European Union struggles to adapt to the realities of a multipolar world, a new intergovernmental structure is emerging, the European Political Community (EPC). More agile and flexible, it could redefine the framework of European cooperation and meet tomorrow’s economic, geopolitical and security challenges. The European Union is facing a double failure: it can […]

Ukraine 2025: The Peace Deal that changes the world

The year 2025 could mark a turning point with the signing of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. This event, driven by the BRICS+ and new international alliances, could rebalance global dynamics and offer a way out of the crisis for the economically exhausted European Union. One political element will open a way out […]

The intolerable persistence of the EU’s economic and political crises

The European Union is facing a series of economic and political crises that threaten to shatter its model. Between the rise of nationalism, economic weakness and the failure of monetary policy, the EU seems to be out of breath. Could this be the very end of the United Europe? Isn’t it time to acknowledge that […]