As you may have noticed, the last “populists” on the planet are all in trouble. They are no longer in fashion obviously. The new generations propelled to the forefront of post-Covid shock societies do not recognise themselves in the populists. Opposition is better organised. This is what we said two months ago about Eastern Europe, […]
Elon Musk has just been named Man of the year.[1] Yet the SpaceX empire faces a new threat: a technological disruption. His promises have become a global communication success, reaching right up to the highest levels of power. However, they come up against technical reality, like any promise of innovation. Space is Hard: it applies […]
The IMF has already started to revise downwards its 2021 growth projections: for the US (from 7 to 6%)[1], Asia (from 7.6 to 6.5%)[2], the Eurozone (from 5.4 to 5%)[3], and the world (from 6 to 5.9%).[4] As seen in our article on the central banks, the Western financial administration is bent on continuing unconventional […]
The First World War was the result of unsurpassable alliances that have become anachronistic. The alliance with America is both outdated and unsurpassable in the 21st century: outdated because the world needs all its actors to work together to solve the immense challenges of the 21st century; unsurpassable because of the series of alliances. The […]
Our team is always impressed by the broad vision provided by this exercise in exploring the future of the upcoming major political events. Whilst checking the following elections in Africa, South America and Eastern Europe in particular, we are struck by the gigantic wave of transformation sweeping or about to sweep the global political scene. […]
In 2024, the German military fighter planes that guarantee the country’s role in NATO’s nuclear sharing will be outdated. If this equipment is not replaced, Germany will no longer be able to host US nuclear weapons on its soil. This would be a major break in the transatlantic defence cooperation. Nuclear sharing is one of […]
The new military alliance between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States (AUKUS) illustrates nothing more than a reheating of the Cold War between China and the West. In this barely concealed confrontation, blocs are beginning to take shape: in the West, an Anglo-Saxon bloc in the midst of an attempt to recompose itself […]
To avoid the collapse of the dollar, Biden (as well as Trump before him) is betting on a Keynesian plan to rebuild the country’s infrastructure and social and health care system, designed to bring the billions of foreign investments flowing around the world back to America. To do this, the White House, Congress and the […]
In Afghanistan, the Taliban are back in power and history is picking up where it left off exactly 20 years ago. However, those 20 years of Afghanistan’s mire have occurred, changing the course history would have taken. Wars, terrorism, destruction, displacement, new players, … the whole world had to rush to the bedside of a […]
The traditional family model has been changing dramatically over the past few decades. Originally (until only a few decades or years ago[1]), family was defined as a lasting union (marriage) between a man and a woman with the intention of procreation. However, expanding personal freedoms of the constitutive parts of the family has resulted in […]
The differentiation between sex and reproduction, characteristic of human beings, is not new. Indeed, if humans have learned to control their fertility, they have never been fully able to control their sexual impulses… We can even consider that the more they have tried to control them, the more “bizarre” they have become from nature’s point […]
The Espana 2050[1] project, presented by the Sanchez government on the 20th of May, brings together, in the form of 9 challenges, 50 objectives and 200 proposals,[2] a set of reform measures in the fields of education, healthcare, taxes, employment, pensions and environment, setting out the framework for a 30-year national strategy for Spain.[3] Produced […]
Trump was the seal of the populists’ era born in the wake of the gigantic crises of the last decade: Putin, Erdogan, Trump, Bolsonaro, Johnson… More fear than harm in the end. Yet, a new era is beginning, the nature of which Israel has just indicated, as anticipated by us: the techno-radicals are here. Enough […]
Demographics are the “mother of change”. Indeed, the successive resizing of the global population is at the origin of the imperatives to transform the political-techno-economic systems that organise the human community. For example, the Industrial Revolution created an era of shared prosperity which represented social progress in its early stages (allowing a very primitive and […]
The concept of Global Britain was formulated in the early months following the 2016 referendum on the UK’s decision to exit the EU. Theresa May and her teams have been using it as an umbrella term for the country’s aspirations to strengthen its global (and European) influence once separated from the 27 member states. In […]
To tackle a subject as complex as energy, the LEAP teams called on the collective intelligence of the GEAB, through the GEAB Café of 20 April, and the active participation of Greg de Temmerman and other discreet contributors, whom we warmly thank for assistance. If you wish to also take part in this type of […]
Our universe is an ever-changing web of abundant energy, it is a central aspect of life and all human activity. Yet if we see energy through the lens of our economic activity, it appears as a limited commodity. In this future energy technology timeline, we wish to cast a look at the current energy transition, […]
2021-2022 18-21/04/2021: The Boao Forum for Asia (BFA) Annual Conference 2021, “A World in Change: Join Hands to Strengthen Global Governance and Advance Belt and Road Cooperation” will take place in Boao, Hainan. 2021 marks BFA’s 20th anniversary. Since the Forum’s establishment, BFA is committed to promoting Asian economic integration and the world’s common development.[1] […]