Category: world
The price of the 2nd most traded commodity (oil being number one[1]) is soaring. At a time of recovery and infrastructure plans, and illustrating the “back to basics” trend, iron ore is the object of all sorts of lusts. While some incumbent interests prefer to optimise their margins by letting prices rise, others are working […]
To tackle a subject as complex as energy, the LEAP teams called on the collective intelligence of the GEAB, through the GEAB Café of 20 April, and the active participation of Greg de Temmerman and other discreet contributors, whom we warmly thank for assistance. If you wish to also take part in this type of […]
Our universe is an ever-changing web of abundant energy, it is a central aspect of life and all human activity. Yet if we see energy through the lens of our economic activity, it appears as a limited commodity. In this future energy technology timeline, we wish to cast a look at the current energy transition, […]
The post-Covid world is multipolar, with at least three of the major poles competing for mineral resources and industrial production. Until recently, this competition was mainly reserved for the western poles – the United States and Europe. But a third continent has joined those two: Asia. The trend is inexorable. For the past 20 years, […]
Faced with the immense challenges that the US-China confrontation poses to the world, Europe must be aware that it is not a negligible player, that it must publicly state its specific interests (peace, prosperity, autonomy), and build a strategy aimed at not getting trapped in the wars of others, following one guideline: to base the […]
In the US-China war trap which has deepened in recent years, with Joe Biden’s arrival in the White House and his strategy of rallying a camp of “allies” around America in order to “contain” Chinese power,[1] Europeans may be tempted to believe that the Western camp will eventually win. This feeling is reinforced by the […]
Energy producers, distributors and investors worldwide are currently facing a triple whammy of falling demand, falling capacity and price wars that cannot fail to undermine the international corporate-based energy system that we have all come to rely on. Are countries doomed to repeat the errors of the past, or can the Green Movement work with […]
Digital data is the new black gold; the adage is familiar, but the stakes involved less so. With the COVID-19 pandemic, the world has achieved a two-year digital transformation within two months, says Satya Nadella, head of Microsoft. [1] In fact, the numbers are dizzying: before the health crisis, the Zoom videoconferencing platform had some […]
As has been repeated several times since the outbreak of this crisis, COVID-19 will act as a multi-level accelerator. If this ends up being true in just one sector, it will be the airline industry. Directly blamed for its responsibility in the spread of the virus, perhaps this sector has been hit hardest by the […]
The last quantum leap in public health dates back to the 19th century. It was the result of the application of the principle of free medical care for all citizens. This extension of the healthcare domain had the effect of providing a gigantic database to a medical scientific community grouped in large hospital institutions.[1] Since […]
The next US presidential election, despite its relatively normal exterior, is already showing some new features. For example: 1/ It’s not the main point of interest on the planet; 2/ Because of the pandemic, the Democratic primary did not really take place, but this did not prevent the nomination of the presumptive candidate; 3/ New […]
For the past few weeks, the planet has been in a state of emergency; people are locked into their homes and the economy is in a state of hibernation. As stated in last month’s GEAB, our team sees this as part of the transition towards the “world after” and it is significant that the event […]
While the need for the digitalisation of the international monetary system described earlier is being reinforced by the financial crisis triggered by the pandemic, one finds in many articles on this topic the same fixed idea: allowing the world to bypass the American system of sanctions.[1] Indeed, these digital currency projects do not date back […]
Many people will see their dreams of radical change disappointed. Yet there will certainly be change! You don’t need to be an eminent guru to understand that the 8 trillion dollars to be injected into the world economy that the G20 leaders have announced,[1] in addition to the 250 trillion dollars of world debt accumulated […]
“In 2020, a global pandemic called COVID-19 brought the world economy to a virtual standstill for several months. To contain the epidemic, governments had to take radical measures to contain populations, reducing activity to the essentials: health, food and certain basic services (telecommunications, water, electricity, financial systems, etc.). It was during these few weeks of […]
Since 2008, the GEAB has been talking about the ‘world after’. Now everyone is using this expression. It is therefore time to archive the ‘global systemic crisis of 2008-2020’.[1] The ‘historian of the future’ is the one who will have described what happened over this 12-year period. Now that a chapter of history is coming […]
Political anticipation is LEAP’s method of “rationalisation of the future”.[1] In fact, it is very close to the “historical method” [2] in the sense that it is accessible to all and aids the social actor in adapting to the complex world which constitutes his new environment. Because of this, its practitioners have often been defined […]
After two months focused on the turn of the year (a review of 2019 in December and a preview of 2020 in January), in this next issue we will broaden our outlook. Our team takes a sombre look at the decade ahead. After 20 years of a “crisis of the future”, we believe that 2020 […]