Category: Magazine
This issue reminds everyone (readers and writers alike) of the extent of the statistical fog currently defining our times. In choosing demography this month, you may say that we focused on a reliable, factual field. Birth rates, the recording of births and deaths, as well as censuses are widespread and deeply rooted practices around the […]
Oil: Beware of upheavals Much of our issue is about change and reinvention. The international oil market is also affected by this trend. Prices are falling, mainly due to weak growth in China. This trend is structural, as China adapts to a new growth model, aware that it will not regain the same economic dynamic […]
By 2030, the balance of power in space will have shifted. China is catching up with the USA at an alarming rate, making orbit and the Moon the new strategic battlefields. In the face of this Star Wars, Europe and the other emerging powers risk being relegated to the background. The clash of the Chinese […]
It’s a very busy calendar that our team has put together for you over the next four months. Add to this a host of other events, summits, meetings, conferences, etc., as the world is bursting at the seams at the end of this year with ideas about the future of our planet and everything that […]
As the European Union struggles to adapt to the realities of a multipolar world, a new intergovernmental structure is emerging, the European Political Community (EPC). More agile and flexible, it could redefine the framework of European cooperation and meet tomorrow’s economic, geopolitical and security challenges. The European Union is facing a double failure: it can […]
The year 2025 could mark a turning point with the signing of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. This event, driven by the BRICS+ and new international alliances, could rebalance global dynamics and offer a way out of the crisis for the economically exhausted European Union. One political element will open a way out […]
The European Union is facing a series of economic and political crises that threaten to shatter its model. Between the rise of nationalism, economic weakness and the failure of monetary policy, the EU seems to be out of breath. Could this be the very end of the United Europe? Isn’t it time to acknowledge that […]
« We cannot solve the problems using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them”, said Albert Einstein[1]. Does this also apply to institutions? If there’s one nuance our team holds dear, it’s this: the European Union and Europe are two different realities. The EU has grown so much in recent years that […]
In conclusion, we would like to share some of the comments left by our readers in the survey on the future energy sources, which you will find in the appendix of this issue. However, the comment below invites us to continue our work on the subject: This is a transnational and national geopolitical and sociopolitical […]
In Europe, nuclear power, as a viable energy source for the future, divides opinion sharply in a political and societal battle over whether it should be maintained, developed or dismantled. States such as Germany and France (both major European players) have completely opposing positions. Two behemoths to form an Energy Union in Europe. Extracts from […]
The world of energy continues to reconfigure itself, with all the creaks and groaning notoriously associated with the quest for energy. Extracts from GEAB 141, 01/2020 : (…) A new energy “web” The world of energy continues to reconfigure itself, with all the creaks and groaning notoriously associated with the quest for energy autarky/security by […]
Hydrocarbons will no longer be a resource of the future in the long term. New resources capable of replacing oil and new modes of consumption to ensure the distribution of energy, not only territorially but above all on a global scale, will be decisive in meeting the exponential demand for our energy needs. It’s a […]
A systemic crisis. Extracts from GEAB 90, 15/12/2014: Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East: Massive storm in the Western port For many years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. […]
Since our bulletin’s launch in 2006 under the direction of Franck Biancheri, one of our key missions has been to anticipate what we theorised as the “global systemic crisis”, which became evident in 2008[1]. Since then, the GEAB has consistently sought to identify the next phases in the transformation of our globalised world. Our analysis […]
Gold in equities We always write about gold as a metal resource to invest in. But gold stocks also include shares in mining groups. Their margins, which are far from keeping pace with the price of gold, have risen sharply recently. This rise is due in particular to the anticipated increase in extraction of the […]
Investments in Europe are on the verge of becoming one of the pillars of Saudi Arabia’s strategy to wean itself off oil revenue. Behind high-profile projects like The Line, we can see a certain rebalancing between the domestic and international aspects of this strategy. While internal investments have long been the most visible and foreign […]
The economic outlook for Western countries looks bleak, judging by a number of indicators. After the decision to cut interest rates slightly, and with the two leading countries in difficulty, the European economies appear to be the weakest and risk being exposed to an aggressive attitude from countries in better financial health. We touched on […]
“India’s shock election result” is the headline in Chatham House[1], “electoral surprise” for the American media… But our readers were certainly not so surprised by the election results in India, since we warned as early as 2023 that Modi would have difficulty securing his majority. The elections are part of the famous 2024 global electoral […]