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The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 May 2018

Middle East: Towards peace with no losers

The Middle East looks as if it could flare up at any moment. Iran and Israel are now face-to-face for the first time[1]. The Turkish regime is hardening and now troubling everyone. Syria keeps offering a peace that Westerners refuse to ratify as long as their share of the victory (and of the cake) is not guaranteed. The Gazans are being strafed through the barbed wires of their prison by the Israeli army[2]. But no one is moving. At most, part of the international community is concerned that the Palestinians are not massacred[3].

Since Saudi Arabia agreed that Israel had a right to their own land in the region, Palestinians will have to accept that soon they will no longer be supported by anyone in the world. Their last protector[4], Iran, is being urged from all sides[5] to endorse the historical fact (suicidal actually for the region to continue to deny) that Israel is there to last and everyone will have to deal with that.

History is cynical but its course cannot indefinitely be blocked.

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Contents

Following the removal of the last of the bolts imposed by the previous world order, and in line with our anticipations, vast amounts of until now restrained transforming energy are [...]

The Middle Eastern mega-city project called NEOM that we have told you about in a previous issue is a real reason to hope. As mentioned last time, the Saudis would [...]

Apprehension goes hand-in-hand with financial matters. Last April, the alarmist IMF announcements predicted a huge crisis by 2020 linked to the level of global debt that ten years of ‘crisis [...]

The revival of European dynamics, whatever they might be, depends largely on the restoration of relations with Russia. This has divided the European Union since 2014 and demonstrated how much [...]

Cryptocurrencies lie at the centre of many of the questions being asked by individuals, companies and market authorities, and therefore by nation states. Their position within the economic environment is [...]

The future is filled with the factual data on which we base the anticipations that inform our decisions. That's why, on a quarterly basis, our team shares with the GEAB [...]

- Oil – don’t count on it! - The dollar – deals to make? - Gold – not like the rest - Loans – urge you on! - Savings – [...]

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