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GEAB 125

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 May 2018

Middle East: Towards peace with no losers

The Middle East looks as if it could flare up at any moment. Iran and Israel are now face-to-face for the first time[1]. The Turkish regime is hardening and now troubling everyone. Syria keeps offering a peace that Westerners refuse to ratify as long as their share of the victory (and of the cake) is not guaranteed. The Gazans are being strafed through the barbed wires of their prison by the Israeli army[2]. But no one is moving. At most, part of the international community is concerned that the Palestinians are not massacred[3].

Since Saudi Arabia agreed that Israel had a right to their own land in the region, Palestinians will have to accept that soon they will no longer be supported by anyone in the world. Their last protector[4], Iran, is being urged from all sides[5] to endorse the historical fact (suicidal actually for the region to continue to deny) that Israel is there to last and everyone will have to deal with that.

History is cynical but its course cannot indefinitely be blocked.

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In summary

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