Category: Magazine

Adrien Hubert works in international cryptocurrency and Web3 circles more generally. He has set up several companies, including Geminy, of which he is CEO. He gives us his views, based on a wealth of economic data and publications, on the future reconfiguration of the global monetary system: BRICS, Dollar, digital Euro, MDBC, crypto-currencies… an overview […]

The political landscape of the European Union is undergoing a paradoxical reconfiguration: ideas from the right, and even more so from the far right, are on the rise; yet the traditional conservative right is living out its final hours, at least as an autonomous political force. This is due to the very strong polarisation of […]

Everyone knows that what doesn’t bend, breaks[1]. This is the short-term threat to the European Union’s economy. The supranational operation of its institutions is inflexible, and in the international economic competition in which it has found itself, it is up against much more agile competitors. At present, a fall in living standards, fuelled by inflation[2] […]

The diplomatic return revealed a clear advantage for the Global South in the concert of nations, marked by the BRICS summit in the first place, announcing an expansion to six new countries: Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Ethiopia, Iran and Argentina[1]. This decision demonstrates the confidence these countries have in their own […]

To be fair, political anticipation requires us to look back at past forecasts. This is what the LEAP team does every August by delving into the GEAB archives. This year, we went back to 2017 to rediscover our anticipations on China’s global power. While China’s position on the world stage is complex in relation to […]

Artificial Intelligence: Jump on the bandwagon! After offering you several anticipations and analyses on the future challenges of AI in this issue, our team would now like to take a more practical approach to its traditional recommendations. This year’s technological breakthrough is the explosion in the number of AI tools available out there, often free […]

Fabienne Goux-Baudiment has a degree in political science and a doctorate in social sciences. She is the managing director of SAS, a study, research and consultancy centre in the field of foresight, proGective . Her main activity is to support public and private sector decision-makers in their future-oriented thinking and initiatives, both in France and […]

This is one of the most serious crises facing the space sector, particularly in the West, and it will determine the future balance of powers. Already listed as one of the “reality shocks” in last year’s special GEAB (July 2022), the issue of human resources is now crucial in the general ecosystem, where we will […]

From agriculture and printing press to the Internet, all technological advances have had socio-economic consequences, leading to profound changes in society. Easy access to the power of artificial intelligence will be no exception. This revolution concerns higher education graduates, who will be the first victims of the automation of work. This will increase several types […]

International relations and geopolitical tensions are fuelled by a myriad of factors, the most well-known of which is access to mineral resources and agricultural products. The microprocessor war reveals new tensions linked to the new economies.[1] Indeed, as soon as a resource essential to the smooth running of an economy becomes scarce, the framework for […]

Gold-Yuan-Euro-Pound – Reserve value: Follow the central banks //  Crypto vs USA: War is declared! //  Cyber attacks: The worst is yet to come //  Towards an “Insurance Run”? //  Real estate: Prepare for the changeover //  Bonds are back: One investment opportunity (at least) //  __________________ Gold-Yuan-Euro-Pound – Reserve value: follow the central banks […]

Christophe Cesetti, who has a background in management control, currently operates as a freelancer within a cooperative, focusing on projects associated with the social economy. Disappointed by the inability of multinational structures to bring about change, he turned to citizen politics and developed a practical approach to collective intelligence in the service of the Commons. […]

Bank failures not anticipated by bank stress tests Recent bank failures in the US clearly raise questions about the reliability of the FED’s bank stress tests.[1] Regulated since the subprime crisis of 2008, which shook the financial and banking sector in the United States and Europe, and the collapse of Lehman Brothers, one of the […]

Our work in anticipation and the reflection on time that it encourages, have made us particularly sensitive to the fact that we do not all live in the same temporalities. One person’s future is another’s present or past, both in terms of our objective reality (e.g. technological) and our understanding of that reality (accurate but […]

Like many industries, the consumer sector is currently caught between technological advances and geopolitical, social and economic upheaval. Looking at the future of consumption is essential because, from necessities to entertainment, our consumption model and its links to the production model shape our everyday lives and our relationship with nature.[1] To get a glimpse of […]

The world is as big as we want it to be. Our team is dedicated to exploring the world’s geopolitical balances of power and opening a window on how they might evolve. While the future is the cornerstone of our editorial line, we also place the plurality of information at the heart of our work. […]

Bitcoin: Take your profits //  Oil: The war //  T-bond: Big sale //  Investment: Real water //  New Tech: Forget AI… //  __________________ Bitcoin: Take your profits We have always said that violence and technology do not mix. Bitcoin’s safe-haven status is likely to come into play in a context of geopolitical tensions, de-dollarisation and […]

Mexico, 2025/2026, a + in the BRICS+ world President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, AMLO, has one year left to make his country a permanent member of the group of sovereign and equal states[1] and to consolidate all the changes he has brought about in the last five years. In the “Reader’s eye on the future” […]