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Eyes on the future, Francesco Magistra: “Geopolitics now seems to favour Latin America »

Francesco Magistra is co-founder and chairman of the Nemesis Group, an asset management and multi-family office company. Thanks to his 35-year experience in the region, he has developed a deep understanding of Latin America and, through his company LandEscape, he offers himself as a bridge and a guide for the people wishing to move to Uruguay […]

2023 – 2025: US Banking Crisis, Bank Run, European Digital Wallets, Digital Currencies and Cryptos: The Necessary Break for the Reinvention of the Western Economic System

Never let a crisis go to waste. The US regional banking crisis continues to gather pace. As out of control as the situation seems, our team believes that the American and European political and financial authorities see it as a necessary evil to reinvent their economic system. This reinvention is a matter of survival for […]

Editorial – Regulation, war, ChatGPT: 2023, the cognitive collapse of the Internet

We hear a lot about the end of civilisation linked to the arrival of AI, which ChatGPT has made clear for everyone. Human beings would have no or very little added value from now on, AI would be so much more than HI… We have news from the future that is both reassuring and disturbing. […]

Investments, trends, and recommendations (apr)

2023 – From dollar shortage to a multi-directional financial crisis… until better times are coming In support of our urgent recommendation to diversify in the face of a major financial shock, here is a brief description of the systemic phenomena at work behind the byzantine analyses of the current crisis. It does not give cause […]

A reader’s eye on the future: “AI Advancements have been a breakthrough this year”

Bogdan Herea, founder and CEO of PitechPlus (a full-cycle software development company) and founder of Academy+Plus (a Romanian Ecole 42), is what some call the “Romanian Xavier Niel”[1] . His main expertise is in product and software development, where he uses cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and cyber security. Born in 1975 […]

Water Wars 2025: The Geopolitics of Europe’s resources

Climate change has been shifting our relationship with water, bringing power and politics into human rights issues of access and management, because the powerless is particularly hit by this. Besides the question of access to safe water for domestic use, it is also a matter of sovereignty over the landscape.[1] Water also serves many purposes […]

2023-2025: The throes of the disappearance of the dollar as an international currency

For almost 20 years we have been anticipating a revolution in the international monetary system and in particular the emancipation of the global economy from the trade vehicle of the 20th century, the dollar.[1] Apparently, nothing has happened, the reason being that no one had any interest in the dollar disappearing overnight. So, the whole […]

Editorial – Global systemic crisis: The new world is dumping the old one

For 17 years, the GEAB has been characterising one by one the phases of the global systemic transition process. As of April 2023, it is very clear that the “new world” (led by the BRICS), after a slow and uncertain revival almost 15 years ago, is now beginning its take-off phase. The new world is […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Mar)

Last safe haven investment: the earth is the limit // June 2023: From war in Ukraine to a “pax americana-sinica”? // Gas: The future of oil // New Tech 2023: We are starting to reach the limits of Web2 // _________________ Last safe haven investment: the earth Two and a half years ago, we announced […]

Eyes on the future: “We are living through the last decade of the Oil Age”

The following article is the result of discussions between the GEAB editorial team and Dr Louis Arnoux. The latter’s work is far more alarmist than most research in the same field, namely the future of the oil industry and oil as a fuel for the world economy. The results and data discussed below, even though […]

Calendar of future events – a special focus on elections 2023/2024

We are not going to draw up a calendar of all the elections, but of those which seem to us to be the most significant. In 2023, for example, ten African states will hold national elections: Democratic Republic of Congo, Gabon, Liberia, Libya (if they are not postponed again), Madagascar, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, South Sudan, […]

2023-2025: The great Western innovation bug

The exponential nature of the pace of innovation of all kinds is increasingly terrifying the Western human collective. Between frightened looks at the future, growing difficulties in adapting to change, and the staggering cost of transformations and their maintenance (starting with cybersecurity), the West will gradually take the word “innovation” with horror. In recent decades, […]

Editorial: SVB’s bankruptcy – Systemic risk, end of innovation and strong euro

Dragging in its wake the Silvergate and Signature banks, the Silicon Valley Bank’s bankruptcy (SVB) remains the sad event illustrating this GEAB issue of March: as analysed/anticipated over the past three years, after the lyrical flights of Western tech at the start of the Covid crisis, painful returns to reality would inevitably be the batch […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Febr)

Real estate: Never release the prey for the shade // Oil: Bottleneck in sight! // Web3: Place your bets // Where to set up what type of business, according to GEAB (advice for European entrepreneurs) // ________________ Real estate: Never release the prey for the shade In a previous bulletin, we recommended letting go of […]

May-June 2024, Modi’s re-election? A not so easy path for India…

We continue our focus on India with this brief on the 2024 elections. The 543 Members of Parliament representing the 28 states + the 8 Indian territories will be elected. In 2024 Narendra Modi, then 74 years old, will have been at the head of the Indian government for 10 years and will be running […]

Will India be the tomb of the Western economy?

We anticipate that Narendra Modi’s Make in India strategy, fueled by the Anglo-Saxon anti-China strategy, will attract a good number of companies that will remain there – in all senses of the word. In line with our previous article on India, it is appropriate to warn our readers against the “Indian temptation” that is likely […]

Ukraine in Europe 2023: The Unsustainability of the European Pyramid

Ukrainian refugees now live in Europe under a special status called temporary protection, modelled after a similar status created by the US at the end of the Cold War. While this status offers them privileged benefits, it also exacerbates the difficulties Europe faces, which we illustrate with a deep dive into the German situation. This […]

Reader’s view on the future: “Humans will lose some of what they’ve had in order to move on to something else”

We are inaugurating with Marie Poisson this new section “Reader’s view on the Future“. Marie’s life is an atypical journey, as she lives on her boat in Thailand. She used to be an antique dealer in Paris and, at the same time, she had set up a computer maintenance company. She changed her life to […]