Category: Telescope

In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. The challenge does not come from its external enemies, but from demographic challenges, internal social fragmentation and an exodus of its most educated population. The country’s future will depend on its ability to reinvent itself, or disappear. No, it […]

The birth rate has always been very high in religious, traditionalist and conservative communities. To anticipate what our future generations will be dreaming of, it is vital to ask which communities are having the most children today. The dystopian world foreseen by the grim prophets of hyper-tech won’t come to pass. The reason is simple: […]

Changes in the attractiveness of different regions and in their attitudes to accepting foreign populations will naturally lead to a reorganisation of migratory flows. In this major rebalancing, the EU appears to be the least well placed, while the Gulf States and, to a lesser extent, Asia will become increasingly important. Finally, the regionalisation of […]

Population decline threatens to become collapse. Whatever happens, it will lead to some form of economic decline. Our economic models, based on infinite growth, need to be reinvented. Degrowth is not an ideology; it is a reality that is imposing itself on the world. Our team offers as proof the mother of all change: demography. […]

It’s a very busy calendar that our team has put together for you over the next four months. Add to this a host of other events, summits, meetings, conferences, etc., as the world is bursting at the seams at the end of this year with ideas about the future of our planet and everything that […]

As the European Union struggles to adapt to the realities of a multipolar world, a new intergovernmental structure is emerging, the European Political Community (EPC). More agile and flexible, it could redefine the framework of European cooperation and meet tomorrow’s economic, geopolitical and security challenges. The European Union is facing a double failure: it can […]

The year 2025 could mark a turning point with the signing of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. This event, driven by the BRICS+ and new international alliances, could rebalance global dynamics and offer a way out of the crisis for the economically exhausted European Union. One political element will open a way out […]

The European Union is facing a series of economic and political crises that threaten to shatter its model. Between the rise of nationalism, economic weakness and the failure of monetary policy, the EU seems to be out of breath. Could this be the very end of the United Europe? Isn’t it time to acknowledge that […]

The world of energy continues to reconfigure itself, with all the creaks and groaning notoriously associated with the quest for energy. Extracts from GEAB 141, 01/2020 : (…) A new energy “web” The world of energy continues to reconfigure itself, with all the creaks and groaning notoriously associated with the quest for energy autarky/security by […]

Hydrocarbons will no longer be a resource of the future in the long term. New resources capable of replacing oil and new modes of consumption to ensure the distribution of energy, not only territorially but above all on a global scale, will be decisive in meeting the exponential demand for our energy needs. It’s a […]

A systemic crisis. Extracts from GEAB 90, 15/12/2014: Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East: Massive storm in the Western port For many years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. […]

“India’s shock election result” is the headline in Chatham House[1], “electoral surprise” for the American media… But our readers were certainly not so surprised by the election results in India, since we warned as early as 2023 that Modi would have difficulty securing his majority. The elections are part of the famous 2024 global electoral […]

The elections were held and unfortunately they fulfilled all the promises we had identified. But not just us. Nothing very extraordinary, except that it was made very clear that on 9 June we were not witnessing “a” European election (by which we mean that European citizens elected their MEPs on a European programme) but twenty-seven […]

At what expense? And to what end? These are two questions that should arise organically as artificial intelligence technologies are implemented. However, currently, this doesn’t seem to be the case. There is a stark contrast in attitudes among the political and economic leaders overseeing the development and deployment of AI technology. They appear to have […]

Or rather “love at first sight”[1]. It may have escaped the attention of our readers, who tend to be more forward-thinking than the average citizens, that the United Kingdom is now preparing to temporarily entrust power to the Labour Party after seventeen years of Tory governance[2]. The remarkable aspect of British democracy is that you […]

The Euro in your pocket: A sense of belonging to Europe The relationship we have with money is charged with affectivity and emotion, extending beyond its economic, financial, and monetary dimensions to encompass social, cultural, and emotional values. Similarly, the Euro’s introduction has profoundly influenced European attitudes, marking a significant shift. With the emergence of […]

Among the anticipated back to basics, few measures hold as much potential efficacy as money itself. In times of mounting difficulties and risks, reverting to fundamental principles becomes imperative. Politicians are already taking heed of this necessity by doubling down on bold and assertive monetary policies. This is obvious in ongoing debates surrounding central bank […]

Marie-Hélène Caillol, President of LEAP and author of this article, draws on the work carried out with the Real-Futur Excellence Centre of the INSEEC-MSc business school, (PERF) which she founded and which she has been leading since January 2024 on the theme of “The future of Human performance in Post-ChatGPT Corporations”. The arrival of ChatGPT […]