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European Tourism 2020-2030: The improbable alliance between tourism and protectionism

Contrary to the feverish dreams of officials in Brussels and our capitals, fuelled by the prospect of an exponential growth in the global flow of tourists, the EU will soon cease to be the world’s main tourist destination. We anticipate that, in 2025, Europe will lose its leading position to Asia. Over the next decade, […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2019)

Crypto-currencies: Gold 2.0? With the greatest caution, playing the diversification and flexibility game to reduce possible risks, we advise you to start investing in the cryptos that now have safe-haven characteristics. Nevertheless, beware when you see things go up or down too quickly and keep a close eye on announcements by the major governments and […]

Oil – Surfing an ebbing wave

We are now well into the fifth – and probably last – wave of the oil era. All the conditions needed for us to leave behind our oil dependency are now in place: an anticipation of the exhaustibility of the resource, an awareness of environmental issues, the presence of new economic players sufficiently independent of […]

‘Europe insists on financing the present where the Americans and Chinese are financing the future’

Interview with Eric Leandri, CEO of Qwant CEO and co-founder of the French search engine Qwant[1], Éric Leandri shares with GEAB readers his conviction that the US-China trade war offers Europe a window of opportunity to be exploited by focusing on the unique features of the European model. In the trade war between the United […]

The end of the American domination over the digital world

The ongoing trade war between the US and China has recently taken a new turn with the involvement of the digital giants, under obvious pressure from the White House. Alleging that the company is a threat to national security, Donald Trump has placed Huawei on the list of undesirable companies in the USA,[1] pushing Google,[2] […]

Strong trend: The increasing resistance to progress

Under the impetuous blows of the global systemic crisis, the automatic pilot system (technocracy), that determined our direction and cruising speed until 2008, is gradually coming to an end. The all-economic – or, rather, the all-techno finance – has begun to give way to politicians that are struggling to take charge in order to bring […]

2010-2030: The disappearance of the European banking system as we knew it

Reports are currently proliferating concerning the health of the European banking sector ten years after its great crisis.[1] However, on the one hand, the European banks only managed to get out of it with public funds;[2] on the other, some behemoths are still seen as ticking time bombs[3] (Deutsche Bank, Commerzbank,[4] Monte Paschi[5]…). Finally, the […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2019)

– Air transport in Europe: Don’t bet your shirt on this – Yuan: Quick!!  – Dollar: Discount on US staff! – Gold: Back to the standard _____________________________ Air transport in Europe: Don’t bet your shirt on this Low-cost airlines are being forced to cut more and more services that large companies are able to provide […]

Investment : Spotlight on silver

Silver has always stood the test of time, coming back as a winner, whether as an essential commodity or as a valuable investment. Since ancient times it has been the money of the people, used for trade, salaries and savings. While gold signified wealth and power, silver was the coinage of daily life and commerce. […]

Faces of the future – Manfred Weber: Bringing Parliament and the Commission into line

The new face of tomorrow’s Europe matches the faces of tomorrow’s Europeans. Among the latter is one we wish to present to you: Manfred Weber, the very petulant 46-year-old German MEP of the “small” Bavarian Christian party CSU, who could very well be Juncker’s successor at the head of the European Commission soon. Why are […]

Calendar of future events (May-September 2019): 28 dates that will change the world… or not

To be able to advance in a complex world that is in full transition, it is helpful to have a GPS system. This calendar of future events, produced every four months, is one of the many guides that GEAB offers to readers to help them navigate through the fog of the future. Here are the […]

Middle East: The summer will be hot

We would like to remind you that one of the main guiding principles for analysing North American foreign policy and current events in and around the Middle East is the annexation by Israel of all or part of the Occupied Territories.[1] Preparations are underway. The sending of US troops close to Iran is intended to […]

The new face of post-election Europe

There’s no need to wait for the results of the election to anticipate some of the major features of the new Europe that will be established after June 2019. Certainly, on the surface, there will be no revolution: The sovereignist right-wing parties (ENF[1]+Brexit[2]+AEPN[3]+CRE) won’t accumulate more than 20 or 25% maximum of parliamentary seats (around […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Apr 2019)

– Smart cities: Fundopolis? – Human-friendliness: Back to basics – Oil: the fly in the ointment – Cryptocurrencies – Cake sharing – Uber – Cheese with holes – Fee-based Internet – Whose turf? – Autonomous vehicles – AI? Yes! But… – Coffee – A Brazilian hostile takeover Smart cities: Fundopolis? The modernisation of cities consists in […]

People of the future

Here we present the latest addition to our Bricks of the future section: The Who’s Who? Or People of the future. Just as organisations have a vocation to stabilise at the risk of obstructing the future, human beings have a vocation to activate at the risk of destroying the future. It is therefore time for […]

Modern money: The march towards a cashless society

There has been much talk in recent years concerning the perceived move towards a cashless society – an increasing tendency to remove physical cash from general circulation and replace it with more modern, electronic forms of payment. This trend is now being increasingly shown through the difficulty in accessing cash together with a push from […]

Political Anticipation Notes: The rural/urban divide

Rural and urban lifestyles have always been different and, clearly, where you live is just one of many divides that affect our societies.  But this divide is one that has been changing over the years and where a crunch is likely to hit with consequences for politics, economics and society. The basic trends What is […]

A theoretical exercise – NATO: What happens if Israel attacks Turkey?

NATO is a 70-year-old baby boomer… just like the Organisation of American States (69), Mao Tse Tong’s Communist Republic of China, the Federal Republic of Germany, the Democratic Republic of Germany, the Treaty of Rome (72 years), the State of Israel (71 years), the Geneva Convention, George Orwell’s 1984 novel[1], Antonio Guterres, Bernard Arnault, Donald […]