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We are free to be cynic whilst looking ahead to our future and anticipating. When new situations occur, we must not hesitate to analyse them thoroughly and try to extract unexpected advantages from them, no matter how politically incorrect it might be. If we use this approach when analysing the future of oceans, we can […]
– Oil: Bottom down – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Bitcoin and cryptocurrency: everything is under control – Precious metals, safe assets Oil: Bottom down The US announcements of oil production effect (we moved overnight from the ‘explosion of production’ to ‘less than expected production’[1]) have resulted in […]
In this short column, we are discussing, in the form of brief alerts, several risks that our bulletin cannot develop further, but concerning which we want, nevertheless, to warn our readers. Syria once again The American camp seemed to be failing for some time, leaving the way open to the Russian camp to calm the […]
– ICOs: Be agile, but well informed – NEOM: The key to a new Middle East citizenship? – Oil: Beware of dollar fluctuations – European arms industry: All the way, with military QE ahead ICOs: Be agile, but well informed As we have seen in this issue of the GEAB, ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings) allow […]
No one needs expensive oil[1] and we anticipate that oil prices are about to drop significantly and sustainably in the coming months. Read on for the reasons behind this anticipation. OPEC stops controlling oil production Since the main topic of this GEAB number is the dissolving of supranational systems, we will start with the anticipation […]
As we all know, Donald Trump kicked off the reinvention of trade relationships by imposing customs barriers on steel and aluminium. In addition to the duty of protecting this industry and the jobs connected with it, he was motivated by the strategic nature of this sector which is intrinsically linked to the army. Economy, employment, […]
We have been anticipating for many months a political takeover by the national level all over the world. This takeover has emerged as a necessity linked to the structural incapacity of supranational levels of governance (patiently put in place during the second half of the twentieth century) to trigger the reforms imposed by the huge […]
– Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries – Iran: Not much longer – Frontier markets: Opportunities in sight Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries The announcements about attacks on Syria, followed by the trilateral US-GB-FR attack itself, have raised bench mark oil prices to their highest in the last […]
Saudi Arabia has recently sent a significant signal concerning the establishment of a ‘New Middle East’, perfectly in line with all our anticipations for this world region. Let’s take a look at this move. At the beginning of March, Mohammed Ben Salman (aka MBS) visited Egypt as part of his first official visit abroad since […]
– Oil – don’t count on it! – The dollar – deals to make? – Gold – not like the rest – Loans – urge you on! – Savings – keep them safe! – Business initiatives – an expiry date! – Automobile sector – a model for the future Oil – don’t count on it! […]
The future is filled with the factual data on which we base the anticipations that inform our decisions. That’s why, on a quarterly basis, our team shares with the GEAB readers the ‘raw’ data of this work in the form of an annotated calendar of upcoming events for the next three or four months. It […]
The revival of European dynamics, whatever they might be, depends largely on the restoration of relations with Russia. This has divided the European Union since 2014 and demonstrated how much this edifice, in its initial form, is no longer capable to serve the most obvious interests of our continent, starting with maintaining good relations with […]
The Middle Eastern mega-city project called NEOM[1] that we have told you about in a previous issue is a real reason to hope. As mentioned last time, the Saudis would not proceed with this project if they truly had in mind an open conflict with Iran. This project is first and foremost a symbol of […]
The Middle East looks as if it could flare up at any moment. Iran and Israel are now face-to-face for the first time[1]. The Turkish regime is hardening and now troubling everyone. Syria keeps offering a peace that Westerners refuse to ratify as long as their share of the victory (and of the cake) is […]
– Chinese market – New banks – Real estate: Owning your home, it’s over! – Your information system: diversify by sectors Chinese market China has an instrumental role in the world economy. The investment and financing needs are enormous. So far, the Chinese stock market remained relatively closed; offering foreign investors either reserved shares (B […]
Currently, the media is marking 10 years of a crisis they didn’t see coming in the first place and questioning experts they did not listen to at the time (at best) or who became experts after its advent (at worst). Hence, it’s time to recall that LEAP/E2020 and the GEAB were among the very few who first forecasted the crisis – in the midst of complete media indifference – with a degree of detail that was barely equalled…
– GAFAM: On their way home? – Oil: You’ve guessed it! – US dollar: The same thing! – Large corporations: Vital or not? GAFAM: On their way home? GAFAM (Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon and Microsoft) have been the masters of the world, but this is coming to an end. Two phenomena are playing a part […]
If you mix oil with paper and throw in a match, what do you think it will happen? This short article is intended to add to our list of oil market features a phenomenon we began to discern last month, but which, in our view, is growing. Most importantly, this phenomenon brings us closer to a ‘day of reckoning’ with potentially cataclysmic consequences. Despite no longer being at the centre of the economic world, we know the degree to which oil remains the pillar of the international monetary and financial system based on the still resisting dollar…