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LEAP, whose method of political anticipation was invented by Franck Biancheri, and applied every month in the GEAB, is honoured to have been invited to contribute a 20-page chapter in an international scientific publication on Cognitive Systems entitled « Anticipation across Disciplines », edited by world famous anticipation expert, Prof Mihai Nadin (Springer, 2015)… . Investments, trends […]
For 40 years now, the freezing of the situation in Western Sahara has been contributing significantly to the paralysis of the whole of North Africa. Nevertheless, significant changes in the regional order allow our team to anticipate a future outcome. . South China Sea, 2016: a summit of bordering countries In line with the escalating […]
US business schools, once considered as being the best management training institutes, are today witnessing a decline in trust and market value of their degrees. The failing state of the US business school model is due to many factors ingrained into its management, curricula and non-performance of the primary duties of educational institutions…(read more in […]
After an unbelievably long period of hectic growth, the Chinese economy has begun to slow down. While the high growth phase was characterised by remarkable stability, the phase of slower growth, if the present crisis is any indication, is likely to be more turbulent. Slow riding an economy is much more difficult a task than […]
We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating tensions. Repeatedly missed opportunities Suffice […]
Les salariés- de Fiat Chrysler menacent de faire grève -un événement jamais vu depuis 2007 dans l’automobile américaine. Le syndicat de l’automobile américaine (UAW) a averti Fiat Chrysler d’une possible grève dès mercredi dans la soirée, a déclaré mardi le constructeur automobile. Si cette menace est mise à exécution, il s’agira de la première grè.ve […]
The head of the Mexican army will not permit international experts to interrogate his troops over allegations they may have been involved in the apparent massacre of 43 students last year, and rejects any suggestion they may have been involved. Modal TriggerGen. Salvador Cienfuegos Zepeda (from left), Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto and Secretary of […]
When LEAP launched the GEAB in January 2006 with the object of describing a “global systemic crisis” in the making, one of its aims was to help raise awareness amongst Europeans of the US’ weakness and of the opportunity which then existed to complete the continent’s independence process. This objective was not only motivated by […]
A lot has happened in Greece since the last GEAB issue. A dramatic turn of events at the end of June with the referendum on austerity organized by Tsipras at the end of June, Varoufakis’ resignation at the beginning of July despite the large “no” victory which he defended, negotiation of an emergency solution, and […]
The concept of « rogue waves » has already been used by our team in June 2009 to highlight the strength and frequency of the shocks suffered at the time by the global economy which isn’t getting back on its feet: unemployment, bankruptcies, Treasury bond crisis.The image comes to mind once again in the light of this unprecedented crisis […]
St. PETERSBURG — Russia and China do not build any military-political blocs or seek “friendship against someone”, President Vladimir Putin said Friday. “China and Russia are not creating any military blocs or alliances against anybody…We are in the process of building an alliance to safeguard our national interests,” Putin said. Speaking to a plenary meeting […]
BEIJING – Lock-up shares worth nearly 41.7 billion yuan ($6.8 billion) will become eligible fortrade on China’s stock market in the coming week. More than 1.967 billion shares from 29 companies will become tradable on the Shanghai andShenzhen stock exchanges from Monday to Friday, according to data compiled by XinanSecurities. Shanghai Tunnel Engineering Co, Ltd. […]
The defence secretary has defended the government’s military strategy and spending, saying that “no country in Europe is playing such a strong global role”. In the face of concern about the armed forces budget, including from US president Barack Obama and former senior officers, Michael Fallon insisted this year’s strategic defence and security review would […]
In the face of some rather worrying indicators in recent months, we have got to the point of asking ourselves the question of the likelihood of a return of European wars looking out to 2020. Actually, it’s not because our team continues to see the crisis’ exit tracks falling into place, that it doesn’t keep watch […]
These last few months our team has striven to anticipate and mark out the future paths that are carefully being put in place at European and world level. Indeed, the underlying trend is now clear: a reorganization of the world into a more or less assumed multi-polarity, more or less undergone, more or less compartmentalized; […]
To believe our media, it would seem that the whole world is hanging onto the Greek agreement sought by the EU, the ECB and the IMF. Between sudden developments and stalemate the tension is rising and from now on a Greek payment default isn’t excluded. Cataclysm or opportunity? Investments, trends and recommendations . Sovereign bonds: […]
Independent agents and e-commerce giants jump into the fray, causing toughercompetition Shanghai leads Chinese cities in many areas, from per capita income to the number ofskyscrapers. Now it has a new feather in its hat: its residents spend more than any otherChinese on cross-border online shopping. During last year’s Black Friday promotion in the United […]
In 2016, the Communist Party of China (CPC) will announce a new stimulus round to fund the upcoming 13th five-year plan. In this plan, China’s leaders will prioritize strategies and measures to ensure lengthy prosperity for the entire Chinese nation but, for this plan to be a success, China’s State-owned enterprises and local governments will […]