Category: Magazine

More than 30,000 civilians have been killed in the ongoing Israeli attack on Gaza[1], yet every ceasefire resolution at the UN Security Council continues to be blocked by US veto, while the General Assembly condemns the Israeli bombardment of Gaza by an unprecedented majority. The history of the UN Security Council itself demonstrates the dysfunctionality […]

Impossible relaunch of the European defence industry, political and social confrontations, strategic disagreements, diplomatic differences… “Until now, Europe has been built out of crises”. This has been a historically verifiable motto. The conflict in Ukraine, however, will be the crisis that proves this motto wrong, and even brings the edifice crashing down on itself. The […]

© Kerozen Concept (AI generated image) Will the European project survive the Orwellian moment in which it finds itself entangled? The European Union, long asserting itself as the sole guarantor of peace on the continent, now appears ready to deploy its operations in service of war, all in the name of securing peace, of course. […]

Oil: Break the prices and we’ll break you Expensive oil will be the norm in 2024. The GEAB has always believed that the arrival of the United States as the world’s leading oil producer would be short-lived due to a lack of sustainable reserves. The fracking sector is in crisis and private operators are buying […]

This month, our reader’s look on the future digs into technology and medicine through the AI and digital tools, only to get back to our most basic needs: health and human relationship.  Philip Choban, the CEO of Telios Care, a Romanian telehealth specialised company, shares with us his insights on the future of healthcare, health […]

Hit by the Western mega-crisis, with all escape routes blocked, Germany must reinvent urgently its economic model to stop its decline. After the Allied victory over Hitler, the US and other Western Allies established the Federal Republic of Germany to harness German economic power[1] against the Soviet Union[2]. However, the 500-year-old Western model failed to […]

We find ourselves precisely where we depicted the painful and violent transition to the world after, with what we referred to as the return of the logic of force in our GEAB178 of 15 October 2023. This situation aligns with the scenario we dared to describe in GEAB 133 of 15/03/2019: “Second quarter 2019: Epilogue […]

Egypt lies at the crossroads of trade routes, providing a link between two major regions: North Africa and the Arab countries. This strategic geographical position puts Egypt, in North Africa, in direct contact with the Middle East, while at the same time bordering one of the world’s most important shipping routes, the Suez Canal. These […]

As we diligently observe the geopolitical shifts in our world each month, the analysis of futuristic city projects and new urban developments proves to be exceptionally revealing. Like dreams, these projects unveil our hopes and fears, ultimately reflecting the visions of perfect, celestial, or ideal cities that their sponsors aspire to create. In embracing this […]

The current surge in grandiose projects for cities conceived ex nihilo as pure utopias is a sign of the times… … a characteristic signal of multiple and simultaneous ruptures: the geographical shift of power and wealth, the concentration of stratospheric financial resources resulting from the oil-consumption era into a few hands and the maturation of […]

Bitcoin: Double-edged institutionalisation The United States’ recognition of Bitcoin’s legitimacy via the ETFs[1] will be a double-edged sword: it will consolidate the Bitcoin’s value and status in the short term[2]; in the long run, on the other hand, it could result in the United States taking control of this crypto. In terms of recommendations, we […]

This month we had the pleasure of discussing with Dr. Maria Moloney what 2024 may bring regarding AI and data protection innovation, as well as issues of European and global legislation regarding those matters. Maria holds the position of Senior Data Protection, Security and AI specialist in an Irish technology company entitled PrivacyEngine. She has […]

Geopolitics: Asymmetrical Recomposition 1 – American election fog disrupts global visibility The fog surrounding the American elections is disrupting global visibility. What will this lack of visibility mean for the outcome of the American election? Claiming to be the world’s leading democracy, the US political system has always been fine-tuned, and for decades, like clockwork: […]

“Be greedy when others are fearful”[1] The great feature of 2024 is its jam-packed electoral calendar. This year, almost three billion people will be voting in 76 countries, including major ones like India, Indonesia, South Korea, Japan, Russia, South Africa, Algeria, Rwanda and, of course, the United States. All these countries find themselves in a […]

Hydrogen, a short-term opportunist The world’s largest deposit of white hydrogen has apparently been discovered in France, by mistake[1]… Although we are not contradicting our recent recommendations on “new energy” stocks, which are trending downwards, this discovery could provide some good stock market opportunities. Reacting to new resources, some of these stocks could rise again, […]

Poll: In 2024, what will be the key event in the global systemic crisis? This year, our team would like to involve you in this survey. Send us your answer here, we are eager to read it. And to get you started, here is our selection of the 35 milestones in the global systemic crisis […]

Last January, in our issue GEAB 171, by way of presenting a panorama of trends and anticipations point by point as we used to do, we chose to paint a general and global picture of the geopolitical, economic and financial mega-trends of the year 2023. From this picture, we have selected the following thirty or […]

We are witnessing an era of historical cynicism that compels us to perceive a succession of micro-conflicts, accompanied by their toll of casualties and population displacements, as endeavors aimed at constructing enduring peace. In making this statement, we are, of course, referring to the conflict between Israel and Hamas (considered “micro” due to its territorial […]