Category: governance

Logically, the international governance invented by the West after two world wars to create the conditions for peace was based on the defence of weak players (Palestinians, Armenians, Saharawis, etc.) against strong players (Israel, Azerbaijan, Morocco, etc.). It is morally undeniable that a peace system is designed to curb the expansionist ambitions of those who […]

This is one of the most serious crises facing the space sector, particularly in the West, and it will determine the future balance of powers. Already listed as one of the “reality shocks” in last year’s special GEAB (July 2022), the issue of human resources is now crucial in the general ecosystem, where we will […]

From agriculture and printing press to the Internet, all technological advances have had socio-economic consequences, leading to profound changes in society. Easy access to the power of artificial intelligence will be no exception. This revolution concerns higher education graduates, who will be the first victims of the automation of work. This will increase several types […]

The exponential nature of the pace of innovation of all kinds is increasingly terrifying the Western human collective. Between frightened looks at the future, growing difficulties in adapting to change, and the staggering cost of transformations and their maintenance (starting with cybersecurity), the West will gradually take the word “innovation” with horror. In recent decades, […]

We continue our focus on India with this brief on the 2024 elections. The 543 Members of Parliament representing the 28 states + the 8 Indian territories will be elected. In 2024 Narendra Modi, then 74 years old, will have been at the head of the Indian government for 10 years and will be running […]

We anticipate that Narendra Modi’s Make in India strategy, fueled by the Anglo-Saxon anti-China strategy, will attract a good number of companies that will remain there – in all senses of the word. In line with our previous article on India, it is appropriate to warn our readers against the “Indian temptation” that is likely […]

We are inaugurating with Marie Poisson this new section “Reader’s view on the Future“. Marie’s life is an atypical journey, as she lives on her boat in Thailand. She used to be an antique dealer in Paris and, at the same time, she had set up a computer maintenance company. She changed her life to […]

While the West is gradually withdrawing its assets from China in anticipation of worsening tensions between the West and the Middle Kingdom,[1] and is becoming aware that its reindustrialisation is facing innumerable difficulties (financial, environmental, human), India appears to be the ideal replacement solution: a large and cheap workforce,[2] a desire for development “at all […]

It was agreed in September 2020 that the UN will mark its 75th anniversary with a Summit of the Future, an event to be held at the end of 2024. The stakes are historic: to provide a supranational political framework for the multipolar world, which is currently settling in a chaotic manner due to the […]

To begin this year, our team would like to warmly thank all of our readers who responded to the questionnaire we sent you in our previous issue. Many of you have expressed interest and enthusiasm in the idea of building a space for research, reflection and anticipation, in which we can share our knowledge and […]

Belgium sets out ten ambitions for a path and a horizon (2030) “with the aim of contributing to Belgian and European digital sovereignty”.[1]  We decided to take a quick look at this vision, because we see it as a weak signal of European ownership, on a national and supranational scale. Belgium is an influential nation […]

“Pretty good’ we would say. Here we are, after the post-Covid world, in a world that is not yet quite “post-Ukraine” but which marks a new break in the systemic organisation of the world order. An order that is divided into two camps: Western, essentially Europe (the EU enlarged to the wishes of the imperialist […]

Dear subscribers, As the year reaches its end, everyone is reflecting on what is behind and what is being built for the future. Our team is not exempt from this exercise and after 17 years of writing which have produced up to this issue No. 170, more than 5,000 pages of analyses, anticipations and recommendations […]

As expected, with the mid-terms soon behind us, the Fed is starting to prepare for a slowdown in monetary tightening in December.[1] Goldman Sachs is trying to make it look like inflation will fall in 2023[2] – presumably to encourage the Fed to slow down. Again, the tightening of rates only has a marginal effect […]

Did you like transhumanism? You will love posthumanism! If the first, while wishing an increase in human, still asserted its centrality, the second intends to exceed the human and humanism in order to place the tools it has created at the core of the construction. The prefixes are important: “trans” here indicates the notion of […]

The threats to the profitability of the insurance industry are now forcing its transformation. The consequences will be brutal for policyholders, companies and households, as well as for insurers, whose loss of profitability threatens the sustainability of their business model. This situation will make the insurance sector the perfect contagious element of an economic and […]

China, Russia, Asia: A reorganisation of flows A reorganisation of all types of flows (diplomatic, economic, financial, energy, etc.) is underway, and not without pain. After a phase of rapid development in recent decades, these changes imply a slowdown in growth and not necessarily a general recession, even for Russia. The causes are obvious: the […]

This article was written by Naël de la Sayette, a civil nuclear power consultant. The invasion and war in Ukraine have brought to light the fragility of the European energy supply. The return of the theme of the sovereignty of Europe, but also (or above all) of the European states, has been confirmed in the […]